Gordon Brown, the British prime minister, might be about to surprise us all.
For months most people have thought that he'll cling on to power until the last possible moment and only go to the country when he has to. So that points firmly towards early May being the polling date.
So why might he go earlier? Let's outline the case.
Firstly the big interview he did last week.
Here the father who famously dismissed using his children to help him politically by annoucing "they're people not props" told us about the loss of his baby daughter, his son's ongoing illness and how he rather clumsily proposed to his wife.