Another day, another top-level conference to analyse the "Iran threat", and once again the experts' conclusion is sharply at variance with the State Department's preferred narrative.
The Arms Control Association brought together the former IAEA Deputy Director-General for Safeguards Olli Heinonen, the International Institute for Strategic Studies' Senior Fellow for Missile Defense Michael Elleman, and the former National Intelligence Officer Paul Pillar.
Their conclusions?
Elleman - The intelligence community’s worst case scenarios for Iran have not come to pass.
Pillar - Iran is not trying to foment revolutions, even in Iraq, and fears that Iran's nuclear programme is encouraging a middle east arms race are overblown.
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![[QODLink]](http://english.aljazeera.net/mritems/Images/2012/5/24/2012524105149565734_16.jpg "The Brotherhood and Mubarak")
